Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 22 Feb 2025

Deportivo Alaves
0-1 HT 0-0
Espanyol
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Deportivo Alaves vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
6.05
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.55
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.75
X/1
21%
4.02
X/2
10%
8.76
X/X
12%
3.51
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
5%
8.27
2/X
9%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.0pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Alaves v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.54/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.42
-14% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.7 Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Deportivo Alaves vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Espanyol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.28
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
249 Passes 356
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Espanyol Espanyol 3-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
11.05.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-1 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
22.09.2021 Espanyol Espanyol 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
13.06.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
25.08.2019 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
13.04.2019 Espanyol Espanyol 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1

Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
0-1
AWAY Espanyol
1.77 xG 0.41
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
368 Passes 208
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol edged past Deportivo Alaves 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 62% of the ball to Espanyol's 38%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.77 to 0.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo Alaves.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.50 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Espanyol?

Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 51%, draw 28%, Espanyol 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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