Espanyol 3-2 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 14 Sep 2024

Espanyol
3-2 HT 1-1
Deportivo Alaves
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Espanyol vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
5.63
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.3
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
18%
5.43
X/2
9%
5.13
X/X
13%
3.52
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.96
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Espanyol v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.39/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.47
+2% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.3 Crosses 18.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Espanyol vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.13
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
386 Passes 227
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.05.2022 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-1 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
22.09.2021 Espanyol Espanyol 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
13.06.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
25.08.2019 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
13.04.2019 Espanyol Espanyol 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
02.09.2018 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-1 HT 0-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1

Espanyol 3-2 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
3-2
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.58 xG 1.91
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
199 Passes 333
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 39
11 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol squeezed past Deportivo Alaves 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Espanyol found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Espanyol had 38% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 62%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.58 to 1.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Espanyol and 0.83 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Deportivo Alaves?

Espanyol 3-2 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 39%, draw 26%, Deportivo Alaves 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Espanyol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Espanyol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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