Real Sociedad 0-2 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 14 Sep 2024

Real Sociedad
0-2 HT 0-0
Real Madrid
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.04
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.28
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
15.8
X/1
12%
9.0
X/2
12%
3.91
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.29
2/X
6%
15.0
Value flag · 1/X at 15.8 — our 9% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 57%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.02/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.09
-32% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
17.0 Crosses 16.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Madrid
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
400 Passes 460
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.04.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
17.09.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
02.05.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
29.01.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
05.03.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-1 HT 2-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
04.12.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1

Real Sociedad 0-2 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
0-2
AWAY Real Madrid
1.07 xG 2.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
393 Passes 437
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
25 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid saw off Real Sociedad 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 48% of the ball to Real Madrid's 52%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.07 to 2.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.50 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid?

Real Sociedad 0-2 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 26%, draw 27%, Real Madrid 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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