Sevilla 1-0 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.57
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
15%
4.46
X/2
13%
6.62
X/X
16%
3.52
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
12%
5.57
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.0pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.37/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.33
-15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
27.6 Crosses 16.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Getafe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
367 Passes 319
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Getafe Getafe 0-1 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
16.01.2024 Getafe Getafe 1-3 HT 1-1 Sevilla Sevilla İSPK
16.12.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 0-3 HT 0-2 Getafe Getafe İS1
19.03.2023 Getafe Getafe 2-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
08.01.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 2-1 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
09.01.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
1-0
AWAY Getafe
1.41 xG 1.01
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
351 Passes 185
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla nicked a narrow win over Getafe 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Sevilla found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sevilla had 61% of the ball to Getafe's 39%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.41 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sevilla and 1.17 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Getafe?

Sevilla 1-0 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 37%, draw 31%, Getafe 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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