Mallorca vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mallorca v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals
Mallorca vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
4-2
HT 2-1
Villarreal
İS1
0-2
HT 0-1
Mallorca
İS1
3-0
HT 2-0
Mallorca
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
Mallorca 1-2 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal squeezed past Mallorca 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Villarreal made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mallorca had 54% of the ball to Villarreal's 46%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.35 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Villarreal's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mallorca and 1.17 for Villarreal.
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Villarreal?
Mallorca 1-2 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Villarreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 38%, draw 28%, Villarreal 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.