Villarreal vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villarreal v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
4-2
HT 2-1
Villarreal
İS1
0-2
HT 0-1
Mallorca
İS1
3-0
HT 2-0
Mallorca
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Mallorca
İS1
Villarreal 1-1 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal and Mallorca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Villarreal at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Villarreal had 51% of the ball to Mallorca's 49%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.92 to 0.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Villarreal and 1.00 for Mallorca.
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Mallorca?
Villarreal 1-1 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Mallorca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 44%, draw 26%, Mallorca 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.