Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 20 Jan 2024

Celta Vigo
0-1 HT 0-1
Real Sociedad
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
6.21
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.67
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
15%
4.79
X/2
14%
5.87
X/X
13%
3.3
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
16%
4.87
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.6pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celta Vigo v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 33%
-16% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.31/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.04
-26% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.7 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.91 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
18.02.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
16.10.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
08.01.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
28.10.2021 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
22.04.2021 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 2-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1

Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo
0-1
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.26 xG 0.76
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
324 Passes 364
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad squeezed past Celta Vigo 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Real Sociedad made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Celta Vigo had 48% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 52%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.26 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.50 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad?

Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 38%, draw 26%, Real Sociedad 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Celta Vigo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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