Rayo Vallecano 0-2 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 20 Jan 2024

Rayo Vallecano
0-2 HT 0-1
Las Palmas
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Rayo Vallecano vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
20.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 33% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.23
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
20%
3.81
X/2
9%
9.55
X/X
15%
4.44
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
10%
8.02
2/X
8%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rayo Vallecano v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +12%
1.79/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.31
+16% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
25.2 Crosses 14.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Rayo Vallecano vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Vallecano
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.53 xG 1.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 Passes 291
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
06.03.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS2
20.12.2020 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
17.07.2020 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-2 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
21.12.2019 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 1-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS2
06.02.2016 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1

Rayo Vallecano 0-2 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Vallecano
0-2
AWAY Las Palmas
1.57 xG 0.71
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 0
286 Passes 426
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
42 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rayo Vallecano vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas got the better of Rayo Vallecano 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rayo Vallecano at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 43% of the ball to Las Palmas's 57%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.57 to 0.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rayo Vallecano.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 0.67 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Las Palmas?

Rayo Vallecano 0-2 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 44%, draw 30%, Las Palmas 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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