Getafe 0-1 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.9
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
14%
5.21
X/2
14%
5.74
X/X
17%
3.65
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.34
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.29/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.30
+9% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.3 Crosses 18.4
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sevilla
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
278 Passes 406
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2024 Getafe Getafe 1-3 HT 1-1 Sevilla Sevilla İSPK
16.12.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 0-3 HT 0-2 Getafe Getafe İS1
19.03.2023 Getafe Getafe 2-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
08.01.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 2-1 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
09.01.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
23.08.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
0-1
AWAY Sevilla
1.63 xG 0.76
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
465 Passes 184
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla edged past Getafe 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Sevilla made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Getafe had 67% of the ball to Sevilla's 33%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.63 to 0.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Getafe.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Getafe and 1.17 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Sevilla?

Getafe 0-1 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Getafe 37%, draw 27%, Sevilla 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Getafe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Getafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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