Getafe 1-3 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.07
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.54
X/2
10%
6.6
X/X
13%
3.9
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
16%
5.21
2/X
11%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 31%
+25% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.49/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.02
+5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
19.0 Crosses 32.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sevilla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 1.20
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
226 Passes 484
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 0-3 HT 0-2 Getafe Getafe İS1
19.03.2023 Getafe Getafe 2-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
08.01.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 2-1 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
09.01.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
23.08.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
06.02.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 3-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
1-3
AWAY Sevilla
1.34 xG 1.28
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
450 Passes 190
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 9
37 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla got the better of Getafe 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Sevilla made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Getafe had 66% of the ball to Sevilla's 34%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.34 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Getafe and 1.17 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Sevilla?

Getafe 1-3 Sevilla in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Getafe 36%, draw 32%, Sevilla 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Getafe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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