Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Athletic Bilbao v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
2-1
HT 1-1
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao saw off Deportivo Alaves 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 64% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 36%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.64 to 0.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.50 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves?
Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 44%, draw 28%, Deportivo Alaves 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.