Numancia 1-2 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Numancia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.87/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.19
+44% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Numancia
2W-0D-0L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.02.2025 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 0-2 HT 0-1 Numancia Numancia İS4
29.09.2024 Numancia Numancia 1-0 HT 1-0 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Numancia
1-2
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Numancia vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Deportivo Fabril nicked a narrow win over Numancia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; RC Deportivo Fabril found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Numancia had 49% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 51%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Numancia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Numancia and 0.00 for RC Deportivo Fabril.

What was the final score of Numancia vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Numancia 1-2 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Numancia vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Numancia 38%, draw 27%, RC Deportivo Fabril 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Numancia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Numancia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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