Numancia 1-0 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Numancia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.80/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.47
+4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Numancia
1-0
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Numancia vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia nicked a narrow win over RC Deportivo Fabril 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Numancia had 48% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 52%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Numancia vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Numancia 1-0 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Numancia vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Numancia 54%, draw 25%, RC Deportivo Fabril 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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