Union Adarve 1-0 Atlético Paso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.38
Over 2.5
33%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.1pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
69%
-1.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
31%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -7%
1.83/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/0.92
+65% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Adarve
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Atlético Paso
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 2-1 HT 2-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
05.11.2023 Union Adarve Union Adarve 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
12.03.2023 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 4-2 HT 3-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
23.10.2022 Union Adarve Union Adarve 3-3 HT 1-2 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Adarve
1-0
AWAY Atlético Paso
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Adarve vs Atlético Paso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Adarve nicked a narrow win over Atlético Paso 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Union Adarve made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Union Adarve had 48% of the ball to Atlético Paso's 52%, shots finished 4-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atlético Paso led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Union Adarve and 2.25 for Atlético Paso.

What was the final score of Union Adarve vs Atlético Paso?

Union Adarve 1-0 Atlético Paso in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Adarve vs Atlético Paso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Adarve win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Union Adarve 36%, draw 33%, Atlético Paso 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Adarve), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Adarve) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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