Atlético Paso 2-1 Union Adarve — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.04
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
46%
+8.5pp
22%
Draw
29%
-7.5pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.11/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.08
-12% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
237 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlético Paso
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Union Adarve
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Union Adarve Union Adarve 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
12.03.2023 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 4-2 HT 3-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
23.10.2022 Union Adarve Union Adarve 3-3 HT 1-2 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs Union Adarve
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlético Paso squeezed past Union Adarve 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atlético Paso as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Atlético Paso and 2.00 for Union Adarve.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs Union Adarve?

Atlético Paso 2-1 Union Adarve in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs Union Adarve?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlético Paso win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 54%, draw 22%, Union Adarve 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlético Paso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlético Paso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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