Valencia II 3-2 Espanyol II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.1pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol II EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.29/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.35
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia II
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Espanyol II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Espanyol II Espanyol II 1-1 HT 0-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
08.04.2023 Valencia II Valencia II 1-3 HT 1-2 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
26.11.2022 Espanyol II Espanyol II 0-6 HT 0-2 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
01.05.2021 Valencia II Valencia II 0-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS3
16.02.2020 Espanyol II Espanyol II 0-0 HT 0-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS3
28.09.2019 Valencia II Valencia II 1-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia II
3-2
AWAY Espanyol II
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valencia II vs Espanyol II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia II edged past Espanyol II 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Valencia II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valencia II had 43% of the ball to Espanyol II's 57%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valencia II and 0.83 for Espanyol II.

What was the final score of Valencia II vs Espanyol II?

Valencia II 3-2 Espanyol II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia II vs Espanyol II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valencia II 39%, draw 33%, Espanyol II 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valencia II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
17 Mar 2024
13:00 Montijo vs UD San Fernando Analysis →
13:00 Real Betis II vs Cartagena II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Antoniano Analysis →
14:00 Atlético Paso vs Union Adarve Analysis →
14:00 Manresa vs Andratx Analysis →
14:00 Saguntino vs Penya Independent Analysis →