Magdeburg 3-3 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 13 Dec 2025

Magdeburg
3-3 HT 2-1
Holstein Kiel
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Magdeburg v Holstein Kiel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.83/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.56
+24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
15.6 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.98 xG 2.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
343 Passes 305
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.02.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
01.11.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 3-3 HT 0-2 Magdeburg Magdeburg AFK
20.08.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-4 HT 1-2 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
11.02.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-3 HT 1-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
07.08.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
10.02.2019 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2

Magdeburg 3-3 Holstein Kiel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
3-3
AWAY Holstein Kiel
2.47 xG 2.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 217
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg and Holstein Kiel couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Magdeburg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Magdeburg had 58% of the ball to Holstein Kiel's 42%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.47 to 2.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Magdeburg and 1.83 for Holstein Kiel.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?

Magdeburg 3-3 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 45%, draw 27%, Holstein Kiel 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Magdeburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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