Canberra United (K) 2-1 Melbourne City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 13 Dec 2025

Canberra United (K)
2-1 HT 0-0
Melbourne City (K)
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra United (K) v Melbourne City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.21/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.95
+7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +98%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
13.6 Crosses 11.3
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.1

Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.12 xG 2.16
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
202 Passes 401
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2025 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
15.12.2024 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 4-2 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
04.02.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
24.11.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
22.12.2018 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
28.10.2018 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW

Canberra United (K) 2-1 Melbourne City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
2-1
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
1.20 xG 1.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
246 Passes 299
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) edged past Melbourne City (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne City (K) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 48% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 52%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.20 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Canberra United (K) and 1.83 for Melbourne City (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Canberra United (K) 2-1 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 26%, draw 22%, Melbourne City (K) 52%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
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