Ballinamallard United 0-4 Warrenpoint Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Dec 2025

Ballinamallard United
0-4 HT 0-0
Warrenpoint Town
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.87
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
29%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ballinamallard United v Warrenpoint Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.35/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.17
-16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.0

Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Warrenpoint Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
The Meetings
25.02.2023 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
04.02.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-1 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
08.11.2022 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
20.07.2019 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United HAZ
08.08.2015 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL
25.04.2015 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-3 HT 1-2 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrenpoint Town ran out comfortable winners over Ballinamallard United 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Warrenpoint Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballinamallard United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.17 for Warrenpoint Town.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?

Ballinamallard United 0-4 Warrenpoint Town in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Warrenpoint Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Warrenpoint Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 33%, draw 26%, Warrenpoint Town 40%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warrenpoint Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Warrenpoint Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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