Ards FC 3-3 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.1
Over 2.5
63%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
9.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.96 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-6.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.1pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.31/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/1.93
-18% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 0-3 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
22.02.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
02.11.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
13.04.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
27.02.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
02.12.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 4-1 HT 4-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC and Newington Youth couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newington Youth led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ards FC and 1.50 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Newington Youth?

Ards FC 3-3 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 37%, draw 23%, Newington Youth 40%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newington Youth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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