TransMara Sugar 2-0 Kariobangi Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
32%
Draw
33%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +0%
0.60/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.65
-36% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
232 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransMara Sugar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kariobangi Sharks
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.12.2024 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar 1-0 HT 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
POST-MATCH TransMara Sugar vs Kariobangi Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransMara Sugar got the better of Kariobangi Sharks 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; TransMara Sugar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of TransMara Sugar vs Kariobangi Sharks?

TransMara Sugar 2-0 Kariobangi Sharks in the Kenya - Premier League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransMara Sugar vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransMara Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split TransMara Sugar 36%, draw 32%, Kariobangi Sharks 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TransMara Sugar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TransMara Sugar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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