Levadiakos 3-0 AE Larissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 13 Dec 2025

Levadiakos
3-0 HT 1-0
AE Larissa
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

Levadiakos vs AE Larissa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.72
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
18.15
X/1
28%
3.86
X/2
6%
14.7
X/X
6%
6.14
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.55
2/2
5%
12.95
2/X
5%
21.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
66%
+2.7pp
16%
Draw
21%
-4.6pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+1.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.4pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Levadiakos v AE Larissa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
3.40/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.76
+84% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 76%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
18.8 Crosses 11.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.4

Levadiakos vs AE Larissa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levadiakos
3W-2D-1L
AWAY AE Larissa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.96 xG 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
325 Passes 259
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
02.11.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-2 HT 0-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
24.09.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-2 HT 0-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUK
19.10.2022 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-2 HT 1-2 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUK
10.03.2019 AE Larissa AE Larissa 2-0 HT 0-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
03.11.2018 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-1 HT 0-1 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
22.07.2018 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa HAZ

Levadiakos 3-0 AE Larissa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levadiakos
3-0
AWAY AE Larissa
3.08 xG 0.06
78% Ball Possession 22%
18 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
584 Passes 119
85% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Box Touches 4
26 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Levadiakos vs AE Larissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levadiakos cruised past AE Larissa 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Levadiakos as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Levadiakos had 78% of the ball to AE Larissa's 22%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 3.08 to 0.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levadiakos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Levadiakos and 0.83 for AE Larissa.

What was the final score of Levadiakos vs AE Larissa?

Levadiakos 3-0 AE Larissa in the Greece - Super League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levadiakos vs AE Larissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levadiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Levadiakos 69%, draw 16%, AE Larissa 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levadiakos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levadiakos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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