AE Larissa 1-2 Levadiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
42%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.3pp
42%
Away Win
35%
+7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 38%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.71/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.99
-46% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AE Larissa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Levadiakos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
19.10.2022 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-2 HT 1-2 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUK
10.03.2019 AE Larissa AE Larissa 2-0 HT 0-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
03.11.2018 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-1 HT 0-1 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
22.07.2018 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa HAZ
04.03.2018 Levadiakos Levadiakos 2-1 HT 0-1 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
28.10.2017 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-0 HT 0-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AE Larissa
1-2
AWAY Levadiakos
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AE Larissa vs Levadiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levadiakos squeezed past AE Larissa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Levadiakos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AE Larissa had 48% of the ball to Levadiakos's 52%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AE Larissa and 0.83 for Levadiakos.

What was the final score of AE Larissa vs Levadiakos?

AE Larissa 1-2 Levadiakos in the Greece - Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AE Larissa vs Levadiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levadiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AE Larissa 34%, draw 23%, Levadiakos 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levadiakos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levadiakos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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