Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
58%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
58%
Away Win
63%
-4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 67%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
2.06/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.76
+97% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +35%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.71 xG 1.75
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
214 Passes 493
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 37
8 Crosses 45
4 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
09.02.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
27.10.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
25.02.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
12.11.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
28.12.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 5-0 HT 2-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-2
AWAY Olympiakos
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos squeezed past Asteras Tripolis 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 38% of the ball to Olympiakos's 62%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 2.00 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos?

Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Olympiakos in the Greece - Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 20%, draw 22%, Olympiakos 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Over 2.5
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