Olympiakos 2-0 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.25
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.95
Over 2.5
58%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.6
No
49%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.39
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
27.0
X/1
18%
3.45
X/2
3%
25.5
X/X
4%
6.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
29.5
2/2
2%
26.0
2/X
7%
33.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 12% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
76%
+0.2pp
15%
Draw
17%
-1.7pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
34%
+16.6pp
49%
BTTS No
66%
-16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.14/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.03
+22% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
460 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 75%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.8
27.7 Crosses 11.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.54 xG 0.70
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
491 Passes 211
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Box Touches 9
40 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.02.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
27.10.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
25.02.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
12.11.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
28.12.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 5-0 HT 2-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
29.08.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
2-0
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.72 xG 0.14
73% Ball Possession 27%
22 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 3
506 Passes 148
87% Pass Accuracy 64%
43 Box Touches 2
59 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos saw off Asteras Tripolis 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olympiakos had 73% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 27%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 1.72 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Olympiakos and 0.50 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Olympiakos 2-0 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 76%, draw 15%, Asteras Tripolis 8%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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