Olympiakos 2-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.71
6+ Goals
13%
6.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
27.0
X/1
21%
3.4
X/2
5%
25.5
X/X
8%
9.05
2/1 EV+ ✓
8%
23.6
2/2
5%
19.8
2/X
8%
26.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-12.5pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.7pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
2.07/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.73
+34% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -4%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 75%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
22.5 Crosses 13.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.14 xG 0.52
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
462 Passes 265
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
28.12.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 5-0 HT 2-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
29.08.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
02.03.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 5-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
26.09.2021 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-2 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
09.05.2021 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
2-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
63% Ball Possession 37%
27 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
503 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos edged past Asteras Tripolis 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Olympiakos had 63% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 37%, shots finished 27-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Olympiakos and 0.17 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Olympiakos 2-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 63%, draw 22%, Asteras Tripolis 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Over 2.5
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