Panathinaikos 1-1 Kifisia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.29
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.15
Over 2.5
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.86
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.08 — our 30% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.49
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
25.5
X/1
22%
3.26
X/2
6%
20.45
X/X
7%
7.64
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
4%
17.1
2/X
4%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
74%
-4.4pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.0pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kifisia EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.77/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.95
-3% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
464 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
22.3 Crosses 9.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kifisia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.97 xG 0.21
77% Ball Possession 23%
15 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
604 Passes 124
88% Pass Accuracy 59%
33 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 0-1 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
1-1
AWAY Kifisia
1.28 xG 1.54
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 11
477 Passes 168
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Kifisia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos and Kifisia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Panathinaikos carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 69% of the ball to Kifisia's 31%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.28 to 1.54.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Kifisia?

Panathinaikos 1-1 Kifisia in the Greece - Super League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Kifisia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 69%, draw 17%, Kifisia 14%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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