Panaitolikos 1-3 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
9.99
1/2
6%
21.45
1/X
5%
18.55
X/1
9%
12.85
X/2
20%
3.6
X/X
12%
6.4
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.79
2/X
5%
17.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+8.6pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-10.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 69%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
0.60/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.70
-27% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -14%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 84%
9.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
12.3 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
0W-0D-6L
AWAY PAOK
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.55 xG 1.77
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 511
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 2-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
22.12.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
20.08.2022 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
12.01.2022 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
22.09.2021 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
31.01.2021 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
1-3
AWAY PAOK
0.57 xG 0.82
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
166 Passes 528
69% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK saw off Panaitolikos 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 29% of the ball to PAOK's 71%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.57 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Panaitolikos and 2.33 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs PAOK?

Panaitolikos 1-3 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 24%, draw 22%, PAOK 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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