Olympiakos 1-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 9 Feb 2025

Olympiakos
1-1 HT 1-1
Asteras Tripolis
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Olympiakos vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.29
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.48
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
24.3
X/1
16%
3.5
X/2
7%
21.45
X/X
7%
6.49
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
5%
21.45
2/X
6%
29.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.0pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.1pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olympiakos v Asteras Tripolis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
2.13/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.65
+28% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
471 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
26.7 Crosses 13.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Olympiakos vs Asteras Tripolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.30 xG 0.73
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
484 Passes 212
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
25.02.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
12.11.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
28.12.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 5-0 HT 2-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
29.08.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
02.03.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 5-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN

Olympiakos 1-1 Asteras Tripolis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
1-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
2.34 xG 0.63
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 0
480 Passes 177
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
52 Box Touches 2
63 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos and Asteras Tripolis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Olympiakos at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olympiakos had 68% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 32%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 2.34 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Olympiakos and 0.50 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Olympiakos 1-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 62%, draw 21%, Asteras Tripolis 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ BTTS No
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