Aris Saloniki 2-0 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.46
2-3 Goals
35%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.28
6+ Goals
10%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.69
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
11%
7.08
X/2
10%
4.62
X/X
15%
3.98
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.95
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.08/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.80
+13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
14.9 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 Passes 412
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
25.05.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
28.04.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
07.04.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-2 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
28.02.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
26.11.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
2-0
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.56 xG 0.64
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
297 Passes 459
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki saw off Panathinaikos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Aris Saloniki made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 42% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 58%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.56 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aris Saloniki and 1.00 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Panathinaikos?

Aris Saloniki 2-0 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 34%, draw 28%, Panathinaikos 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Panathinaikos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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