Aris Saloniki 0-2 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.04
6+ Goals
10%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.18
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
8%
14.95
X/1
7%
7.74
X/2
17%
4.14
X/X
13%
4.45
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.58
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 53%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
0.99/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.58
+32% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
12.4 Crosses 16.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.85 xG 1.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
312 Passes 376
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
26.11.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
14.05.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
05.04.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-1 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
12.02.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-2 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
23.10.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
0-2
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.75 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
23 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
275 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 23
32 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos saw off Aris Saloniki 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 48% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 52%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 1.75 to 0.82 — on chances, Aris Saloniki could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aris Saloniki and 1.17 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Panathinaikos?

Aris Saloniki 0-2 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 28%, draw 29%, Panathinaikos 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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