Lamia 1-5 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
63%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.29
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
24.45
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
4%
28.0
X/1
4%
28.5
X/2
26%
3.36
X/X
9%
7.65
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.38
2/X
9%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
+7.0pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.2pp
63%
Away Win
77%
-14.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 81%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
0.61/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.60
-31% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +19%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
211 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 483 · 85%
9.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
11.9 Crosses 22.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.68 xG 1.36
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
212 Passes 418
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.01.2024 Lamia Lamia 1-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
03.09.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
19.02.2023 Lamia Lamia 0-3 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
30.10.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
19.12.2021 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
19.09.2021 Lamia Lamia 1-2 HT 0-2 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
1-5
AWAY Olympiakos
0.72 xG 2.59
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
327 Passes 410
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
4 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lamia vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos swept aside Lamia 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lamia had 45% of the ball to Olympiakos's 55%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.72 to 2.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lamia and 2.00 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Lamia vs Olympiakos?

Lamia 1-5 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Lamia 15%, draw 22%, Olympiakos 63%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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