Lamia 1-0 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 3 Jan 2024

Lamia
1-0 HT 1-0
Olympiakos
📅03/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Lamia vs Olympiakos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.78
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
16.2
1/2
10%
25.0
1/X
4%
22.15
X/1
4%
19.1
X/2
20%
3.41
X/X
8%
6.48
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
29%
1.54
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
21.15
Value flag · 2/X at 21.15 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+6.6pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.3pp
58%
Away Win
71%
-12.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lamia v Olympiakos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 75%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
0.71/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.58
-27% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +53%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
222 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 86%
10.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
13.1 Crosses 20.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Lamia vs Olympiakos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.55 xG 1.38
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
216 Passes 441
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
19.02.2023 Lamia Lamia 0-3 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
30.10.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
19.12.2021 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
19.09.2021 Lamia Lamia 1-2 HT 0-2 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
07.03.2021 Olympiakos Olympiakos 3-0 HT 3-0 Lamia Lamia YUN

Lamia 1-0 Olympiakos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
1-0
AWAY Olympiakos
0.95 xG 1.24
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
211 Passes 459
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lamia vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamia squeezed past Olympiakos 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Olympiakos at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lamia had 36% of the ball to Olympiakos's 64%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.95 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Lamia and 2.50 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Lamia vs Olympiakos?

Lamia 1-0 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lamia 17%, draw 25%, Olympiakos 58%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Olympiakos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Under 2.5
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