PAOK 4-0 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 3 Jan 2024

PAOK
4-0 HT 2-0
OFI
📅03/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

PAOK vs OFI Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.63
Over 2.5
65%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.02
2-3 Goals
30%
2.05
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
41%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.51
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.51 — our 41% vs market 33.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.66
1/2
10%
34.0
1/X
7%
19.9
X/1
18%
3.6
X/2
3%
13.8
X/X
10%
8.17
2/1
7%
18.8
2/2
10%
9.68
2/X
6%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-13.9pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.4pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
34%
+0.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
66%
-0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.0pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PAOK v OFI — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +3%
1.77/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.30
+4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
20.6 Crosses 12.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

PAOK vs OFI Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
3W-2D-1L
AWAY OFI
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.52 xG 0.47
59% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
401 Passes 254
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.09.2023 OFI OFI 1-0 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
14.01.2023 PAOK PAOK 0-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
18.09.2022 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
15.01.2022 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
03.10.2021 OFI OFI 1-3 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
17.01.2021 OFI OFI 0-3 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN

PAOK 4-0 OFI — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
4-0
AWAY OFI
4.89 xG 0.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
376 Passes 435
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
37 Box Touches 5
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PAOK vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK ran out comfortable winners over OFI 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, PAOK had 48% of the ball to OFI's 52%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 4.89 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for PAOK and 0.50 for OFI.

What was the final score of PAOK vs OFI?

PAOK 4-0 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 03/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split PAOK 54%, draw 23%, OFI 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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