Asteras Tripolis 1-0 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

Asteras Tripolis
1-0 HT 1-0
Olympiakos
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.8
1/2
8%
24.45
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
16.1
X/1
10%
9.65
X/2
18%
3.85
X/X
11%
4.87
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.19
2/X
6%
15.2
Value flag · 1/X at 16.1 — our 10% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
20%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-8.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Asteras Tripolis v Olympiakos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 59%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.13/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.76
+29% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.6 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.58 xG 1.23
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
258 Passes 461
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
12.11.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
28.12.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 5-0 HT 2-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
29.08.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
02.03.2022 Olympiakos Olympiakos 5-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
26.09.2021 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-2 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN

Asteras Tripolis 1-0 Olympiakos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-0
AWAY Olympiakos
1.13 xG 1.25
26% Ball Possession 74%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
122 Passes 483
58% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 40
8 Crosses 56
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis squeezed past Olympiakos 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Olympiakos at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 26% of the ball to Olympiakos's 74%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.13 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 2.67 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos?

Asteras Tripolis 1-0 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 25%, draw 27%, Olympiakos 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Olympiakos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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