PAOK 1-2 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

PAOK
1-2 HT 1-0
OFI
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

PAOK vs OFI Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.29
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
22.3
X/1
14%
3.54
X/2
6%
21.45
X/X
10%
7.95
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
7%
16.55
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
Value flag · 2/X at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
73%
-17.2pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.6pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PAOK v OFI — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.92/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/2.04
+4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -13%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 71%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
21.4 Crosses 10.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

PAOK vs OFI Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
3W-2D-1L
AWAY OFI
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.98 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
382 Passes 284
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.01.2024 PAOK PAOK 4-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
03.09.2023 OFI OFI 1-0 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
14.01.2023 PAOK PAOK 0-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
18.09.2022 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
15.01.2022 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
03.10.2021 OFI OFI 1-3 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN

PAOK 1-2 OFI — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
1-2
AWAY OFI
1.56 xG 1.27
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 235
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PAOK vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI edged past PAOK 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PAOK at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, PAOK had 58% of the ball to OFI's 42%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 1.56 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for PAOK and 0.50 for OFI.

What was the final score of PAOK vs OFI?

PAOK 1-2 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split PAOK 56%, draw 25%, OFI 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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