AEK Atina 2-1 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.22
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
78%
-0.3pp
14%
Draw
16%
-2.3pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.1pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 9%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.00/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.79
+11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +47%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Panaitolikos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.88 xG 0.74
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
484 Passes 177
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
40 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.01.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
05.10.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
18.12.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-2 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
08.10.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
15.01.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-1 HT 2-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
17.09.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-2 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
2-1
AWAY Panaitolikos
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
15 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina edged past Panaitolikos 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AEK Atina had 54% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 46%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AEK Atina and 0.67 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Panaitolikos?

AEK Atina 2-1 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 77%, draw 14%, Panaitolikos 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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