AEK Atina 1-0 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.34
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
29.5
X/1
17%
3.5
X/2
7%
28.5
X/X
10%
7.89
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
4%
29.0
2/X
6%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
78%
-17.6pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.5pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.6pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
2.24/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.89
+7% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -4%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
433 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 71%
35.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
25.6 Crosses 10.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Panaitolikos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.79 xG 0.76
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
450 Passes 196
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
18.12.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-2 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
08.10.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
15.01.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-1 HT 2-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
17.09.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-2 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
16.01.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-2 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
1-0
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.55 xG 0.41
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
609 Passes 177
91% Pass Accuracy 68%
39 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina squeezed past Panaitolikos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, AEK Atina had 72% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 28%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.55 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AEK Atina and 1.00 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Panaitolikos?

AEK Atina 1-0 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 60%, draw 23%, Panaitolikos 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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