Asteras Tripolis 1-0 Kallithea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.85
X/1
18%
4.09
X/2
8%
8.98
X/X
16%
4.13
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
12%
7.91
2/X
7%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.4pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.8pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kallithea EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.33/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.83
+4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
23.8 Crosses 23.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kallithea
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.09 xG 1.02
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
402 Passes 241
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Kallithea Kallithea 1-3 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-0
AWAY Kallithea
1.02 xG 0.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
273 Passes 381
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Kallithea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis nicked a narrow win over Kallithea 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Asteras Tripolis as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 43% of the ball to Kallithea's 57%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.02 to 0.33.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Kallithea?

Asteras Tripolis 1-0 Kallithea in the Greece - Super League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Kallithea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 41%, draw 33%, Kallithea 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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