Kallithea 1-3 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.53
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
14%
5.08
X/2
11%
5.8
X/X
13%
4.13
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
16%
4.25
2/X
11%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kallithea EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.76/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.86
+39% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
Crosses 16.6
Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kallithea
1-3
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.02 xG 2.09
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 1
241 Passes 402
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kallithea vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis beat Kallithea 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Asteras Tripolis made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kallithea had 40% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 60%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.02 to 2.09.

What was the final score of Kallithea vs Asteras Tripolis?

Kallithea 1-3 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kallithea vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kallithea win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kallithea 37%, draw 29%, Asteras Tripolis 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kallithea) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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