Panserraikos 2-3 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.71
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 35% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
16%
5.08
X/2
8%
5.89
X/X
15%
4.0
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
16%
4.36
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.44/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.05
+45% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
17.8 Crosses 15.4
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
1W-2D-2L
AWAY OFI
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.20 xG 1.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
307 Passes 371
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-2 HT 2-1 OFI OFI YUN
19.02.2024 OFI OFI 4-0 HT 3-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
06.11.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
01.03.2009 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
08.11.2008 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-2 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
2-3
AWAY OFI
1.55 xG 2.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
311 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI nicked a narrow win over Panserraikos 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day OFI made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panserraikos had 52% of the ball to OFI's 48%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.55 to 2.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, OFI led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panserraikos and 1.80 for OFI.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs OFI?

Panserraikos 2-3 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panserraikos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 38%, draw 32%, OFI 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Panserraikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
6 Oct 2024
00:00 Levadiakos vs PAOK Analysis →
17:00 Kallithea vs Asteras Tripolis Analysis →
20:30 Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos Analysis →