OFI 4-0 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 19 Feb 2024

OFI
4-0 HT 3-0
Panserraikos
📅19/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

OFI vs Panserraikos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 29% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.06
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
21%
4.65
X/2
10%
6.5
X/X
13%
4.32
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.9
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OFI v Panserraikos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.18/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.34
-17% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
21.6 Crosses 13.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5

OFI vs Panserraikos Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Panserraikos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
312 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.11.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
01.03.2009 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
08.11.2008 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-2 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN

OFI 4-0 Panserraikos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
4-0
AWAY Panserraikos
2.39 xG 0.44
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
308 Passes 373
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OFI vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI swept aside Panserraikos 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had OFI as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, OFI had 46% of the ball to Panserraikos's 54%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 2.39 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OFI and 1.00 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of OFI vs Panserraikos?

OFI 4-0 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split OFI 41%, draw 29%, Panserraikos 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFI) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OFI) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
19 Feb 2024
19:00 Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos Analysis →