Asteras Tripolis 2-2 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.01
6+ Goals
10%
18.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
11%
4.11
X/2
6%
8.88
X/X
16%
4.32
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
14%
7.14
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.28/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.19
+7% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
22.3 Crosses 14.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Panaitolikos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.00 xG 0.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
382 Passes 322
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
18.03.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
05.02.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
16.10.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
16.04.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
14.12.2021 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
2-2
AWAY Panaitolikos
2.05 xG 0.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
353 Passes 265
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 10
39 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis and Panaitolikos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Asteras Tripolis at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 58% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 42%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.05 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 0.17 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos?

Asteras Tripolis 2-2 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 43%, draw 32%, Panaitolikos 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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