Panserraikos 2-2 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 32% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
17%
5.39
X/2
7%
5.99
X/X
16%
3.88
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
15%
4.25
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 36%
+15% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.76/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.03
+72% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.7 Crosses 16.1
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
1W-1D-2L
AWAY OFI
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.91 xG 1.96
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 Passes 310
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.02.2024 OFI OFI 4-0 HT 3-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
06.11.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
01.03.2009 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
08.11.2008 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-2 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
2-2
AWAY OFI
1.76 xG 2.03
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
245 Passes 492
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 18
4 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos and OFI shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Panserraikos at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panserraikos had 35% of the ball to OFI's 65%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.76 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, OFI led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Panserraikos and 1.75 for OFI.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs OFI?

Panserraikos 2-2 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panserraikos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 41%, draw 32%, OFI 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Panserraikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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