PAS Giannina 0-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 13 Apr 2024

PAS Giannina
0-1 HT 0-0
Asteras Tripolis
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

PAS Giannina vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 30% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
15%
4.79
X/2
11%
6.65
X/X
20%
4.42
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.83
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PAS Giannina v Asteras Tripolis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAS Giannina EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.25/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.06
-21% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.0 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8

PAS Giannina vs Asteras Tripolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAS Giannina
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.92 xG 0.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 Passes 425
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.01.2024 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 2-1 HT 2-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
17.09.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-2 HT 2-2 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
06.05.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
18.02.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 1-1 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
31.10.2022 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 2-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
02.02.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-0 HT 2-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN

PAS Giannina 0-1 Asteras Tripolis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAS Giannina
0-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
0.82 xG 0.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 6
293 Passes 201
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 15
43 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH PAS Giannina vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis nicked a narrow win over PAS Giannina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Asteras Tripolis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PAS Giannina had 58% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 42%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.82 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAS Giannina had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for PAS Giannina and 1.17 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of PAS Giannina vs Asteras Tripolis?

PAS Giannina 0-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAS Giannina vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAS Giannina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split PAS Giannina 38%, draw 30%, Asteras Tripolis 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (PAS Giannina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PAS Giannina) ✓ Under 2.5
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