PAS Giannina 2-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 7 Jan 2024

PAS Giannina
2-1 HT 2-1
Asteras Tripolis
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

PAS Giannina vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.76
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.42 — our 37% vs market 34.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.23
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
13%
4.53
X/2
12%
6.14
X/X
23%
3.9
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
14%
4.94
2/X
5%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.9pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PAS Giannina v Asteras Tripolis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAS Giannina EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.34/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.91
-13% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.0 Crosses 17.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

PAS Giannina vs Asteras Tripolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAS Giannina
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.77 xG 0.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 Passes 411
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-2 HT 2-2 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
06.05.2023 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
18.02.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 1-1 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
31.10.2022 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 2-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
02.02.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-0 HT 2-0 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina YUN
31.10.2021 PAS Giannina PAS Giannina 1-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN

PAS Giannina 2-1 Asteras Tripolis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAS Giannina
2-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.64 xG 1.05
33% Ball Possession 67%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
144 Passes 425
62% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH PAS Giannina vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAS Giannina nicked a narrow win over Asteras Tripolis 2-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; PAS Giannina found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PAS Giannina had 33% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 67%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.64 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAS Giannina had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for PAS Giannina and 1.17 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of PAS Giannina vs Asteras Tripolis?

PAS Giannina 2-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAS Giannina vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAS Giannina win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split PAS Giannina 34%, draw 33%, Asteras Tripolis 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAS Giannina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAS Giannina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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