Volos NFC 1-2 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 7 Jan 2024

Volos NFC
1-2 HT 0-1
Atromitos
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Volos NFC vs Atromitos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.62
Over 2.5
52%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.69
6+ Goals
11%
26.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.69 — our 25% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.15
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
12%
4.54
X/2
8%
6.44
X/X
10%
3.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
30.5
2/2
17%
5.16
2/X
11%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 12% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
58%
-10.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
42%
+10.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volos NFC v Atromitos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.04/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.31
+26% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.4 Crosses 14.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Volos NFC vs Atromitos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volos NFC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atromitos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 Passes 350
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.09.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
17.07.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-1 HT 0-1 Atromitos Atromitos HAZ
12.02.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 2-1 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
22.10.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-1 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
30.04.2022 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-1 HT 0-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
03.03.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 2-1 HT 1-1 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN

Volos NFC 1-2 Atromitos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volos NFC
1-2
AWAY Atromitos
0.74 xG 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
187 Passes 288
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Volos NFC vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos edged past Volos NFC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Volos NFC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Volos NFC had 43% of the ball to Atromitos's 57%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.74 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Volos NFC and 1.00 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Volos NFC vs Atromitos?

Volos NFC 1-2 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volos NFC vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volos NFC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Volos NFC 41%, draw 27%, Atromitos 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Volos NFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Volos NFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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