Olympiakos 1-2 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.96
2-3 Goals
33%
1.75
4-5 Goals
27%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.52
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
15%
5.15
X/2
12%
5.68
X/X
14%
4.34
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
16%
4.04
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.09/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.71
+12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.3 Crosses 17.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AEK Atina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.68 xG 1.36
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
170 Passes 339
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 1-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
03.05.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
23.04.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
12.04.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
12.03.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-3 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
09.02.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
1-2
AWAY AEK Atina
0.89 xG 0.99
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
395 Passes 272
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina edged past Olympiakos 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; AEK Atina found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Olympiakos had 57% of the ball to AEK Atina's 43%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.89 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Olympiakos and 1.50 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs AEK Atina?

Olympiakos 1-2 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 38%, draw 27%, AEK Atina 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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