Panathinaikos 2-1 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.28
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.47
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
24.7
X/1
21%
3.29
X/2
6%
23.0
X/X
10%
6.74
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
5%
20.4
2/X
5%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
74%
-9.0pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.8pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.82/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.94
+0% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
20.5 Crosses 10.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.04 xG 0.29
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
506 Passes 197
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-5 HT 0-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
06.03.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
09.11.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
19.02.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
28.11.2021 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
22.02.2021 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-1
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.57 xG 0.23
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
604 Passes 208
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos edged past Panaitolikos 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 70% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 30%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.57 to 0.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Panathinaikos's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.33 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Panaitolikos?

Panathinaikos 2-1 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 65%, draw 21%, Panaitolikos 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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