Panserraikos 1-1 Kifisia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.51
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 26% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.34
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
17%
4.24
X/2
5%
8.78
X/X
18%
4.84
2/1
6%
23.45
2/2
15%
6.55
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kifisia EU Bookmakers 26%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.52/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/2.42
-60% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / -52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
388 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
Crosses 18.6
Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kifisia
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.70 xG 1.63
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
173 Passes 309
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 37
5 Yellow Cards 4
17.09.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 4-4 HT 0-3 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
1-1
AWAY Kifisia
1.00 xG 1.93
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
404 Passes 147
77% Pass Accuracy 58%
13 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs Kifisia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos and Kifisia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Panserraikos at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Panserraikos had 68% of the ball to Kifisia's 32%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.00 to 1.93.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs Kifisia?

Panserraikos 1-1 Kifisia in the Greece - Super League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs Kifisia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panserraikos win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 47%, draw 30%, Kifisia 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Panserraikos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panserraikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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